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On November 1st this year, it was unusual for the Chinese auto industry. First, the price of gasoline, diesel and aviation kerosene increased by 500 yuan per ton, and the price of 93-gasoline, which is commonly used in economical family cars, surged to more than 5 yuan. Second, the “Regulations on the Access to New Energy Vehicles Production Management†that has received much attention has officially surfaced. New energy vehicles with the purpose of energy conservation have become the hottest keywords in the automobile industry at the end of the year.
At present, the development of new energy vehicles in China does present a prosperous scene. However, whether the future development will be smooth and it cannot be concluded quickly because of the dual risk of torture for new energy vehicles.
"Hundred flowers bloom"
Compared with the world trend, the development of new energy vehicles in China is still slow. In recent years, the research and development of China's energy-saving and environmentally friendly vehicles can be described as flourishing. What is worth reflecting on is that this mode of fighting each other and fighting alone leaves behind the prosperity full of risks. Although some experts have proposed that China's new energy vehicle road map cannot copy the international model, it is necessary to go hand-in-hand with all-round, multi-angle development. In fact, it is precisely this kind of "hundred flowers" technology situation that has caused some waste of social resources to some extent.
“Each locality has different ways of managing the development of new energy vehicles and lacks guidance and preferential policies.†The person in charge of an automobile consulting company pointed out sharply that “It is this 'hundred blossoming' situation that leads to market promotion. There is a lack of focus on strength.†Although new energy is the direction of development of automobiles, bioenergy, electric energy, hybrid power, hydrogen fuel cells, and diesel energy are among the “new energy sourcesâ€, and their variety makes them anxious. Those companies that drive the “new energy†bus, but have limited strength, have to “bet†the direction of new energy development in the form of “betsâ€. They usually integrate their own expertise, find a new energy path that best suits their development, and then desperately research and develop. Although such an approach can concentrate R&D efforts and save R&D costs, this is only based on the premise of “detentionâ€. If the outcome is reversed, it is entirely possible for the company to be in a weak state.
In addition, as far as car energy is concerned, the environmental protection issues faced are much more difficult than we thought. The task of just one alternative energy source is particularly arduous, not to mention "alternative and environmentally clean" energy. In addition, what we need to solve most probably is not how many new breakthroughs in technology, but the unification of existing technologies. Because only unified standards can speed up the popularization and produce practical results.
Market bottleneck to be broken
Many people in the industry believe that another unavoidable reality for China's new energy vehicles is that auto companies are plagued by how the new energy vehicles will be mass-produced and how they will reach the market. However, this problem cannot be completely resolved by the enterprises themselves. For example, the actual fuel economy of most hybrid electric vehicles is currently between 20% and 30%, but vehicle prices have increased by 30% or more, which has greatly affected consumer acceptance. . For fuel cell vehicles and pure electric vehicles, promotion is more difficult and can only be tried and promoted on a limited number of vehicle types. Therefore, although new energy vehicles such as Chang'an and Chery have been successfully developed, they have not been able to be introduced to the market.
Because of its high price, it is difficult to have a place in the market. There is no government subsidy and related supporting incentives. The key to the development of new energy vehicles in China is whether they can be used on a large scale. If this can be done, companies will naturally find themselves struggling for a “birth permitâ€; but if they cannot use it, the company will invest a lot of money, manpower and material resources. All have become "sinking costs" and the government's production management methods have also lost management objects.