Interpretation of the 2011 auto market policy to encourage energy-saving emission reduction into the main line

18 million! China’s auto market will continue to lead the world in 2010 and become a certainty! However, it is well-known that, in addition to the rigid demand of consumers, the stimulating of national policies is another important reason for the rapid growth of the Chinese auto market. However, next year, policies such as vehicle purchase tax concessions, car subsidies to the countryside, trade-in subsidies and other policies will leave people with more doubts about the auto market in 2011.

People's concerns are not unreasonable. After interviewing people in the industry, the reporter found that the auto market policy in 2011 will encourage energy conservation and emission reduction as the main line. For several consecutive years, the auto market “roller coaster” may return to a stable position in 2011.

Rao Da: The favorable policy has been withdrawn in batches. "There is almost no suspense to cancel the purchase tax concessions next year, but the government is worried that the immediate abolition of preferential policies may bring some negative effects to the market." Rao Da, secretary-general of the National Association of Passenger Cars, interviewed He said, “The global economy has gradually recovered, and the withdrawal of preferential taxation policies issued by the state during the financial crisis is already a general trend.” He believes that compared to the purchase tax concessions, the two policies of car-to-country and trade-in replacement will affect the consumption of the overall automobile market. Pulling action is limited. According to his analysis, subsidy for cars to the countryside and trade-in subsidies were originally introduced as supplementary measures to purchase tax concessions. Since the main incentive measures have been cancelled, as a supplementary policy, there is no need to continue implementation.

Rao Da said that the Chinese auto market is a “policy market”, and the growth of spurt is due to the stimulation of the country’s favorable policies. “The characteristic of the policy auto market is that the effect of policy stimulus is immediate, but abrupt cancellation will bring great concern to the market. Therefore, in 2011, the state took a batch of withdrawals from these policies, which also gave the auto market a reasonable buffer for returning from blowouts.”

Gong Yu: The energy-saving subsidies will continue to be implemented while another voice believes that the subsidy for cars to the countryside and the old-for-new subsidies policy will continue to be implemented, but relevant contents should be revised. Gong Yu, the deputy secretary-general of the China Commercial Vehicles Federation, pointed out this view. He said that the standard for scrapped cars stipulated in trade-in replacements is expected to increase. He cited the example that the original scrapping standard for yellow-marked cars was Euro I, which may increase to Euro next year. II emissions, and gradually choose to withdraw time.

In his view, in 2011 the auto market still retained a favorable "subsidy program" - fuel consumption energy subsidies. All energy-saving models that meet the fuel consumption level of the third phase will continue to enjoy a subsidy of 3,000 yuan for energy-saving vehicles. Up to now, the ministries and commissions of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology have announced the list of four batches of energy-saving models. Now there are more than 20 manufacturers and more than 260 models can obtain this 3,000 yuan subsidy. "However, there is still no obvious effect of policies such as car purchase tax concessions on retaining the driving role of energy-saving subsidies for the auto market."

Liu Bo: Encouraging policies to reduce emissions In the opinion of Liu Bo, the China Automotive Technology and Research Center, boosting sales and boosting market confidence are the main tasks of car incentive policies in the past two years. This task has already been completed. "Since the 12th Five-Year Plan period starting in 2011, the state's task for car management will be mainly on energy-saving and emission-reduction. Therefore, the encouragement policy for the automotive industry will be more reflected in supporting technological upgrading and eliminating backward production capacity. ”

He said that the “draft of vehicle and boat tax law” draft published at the end of October has already indicated that the country’s previous consumer-buying policies for the auto market have started to shift.” He believes that the models that need to raise taxes in the tax adjustment of vehicles and boats will even go down to Below 1.6 liters of displacement, these models have previously encouraged consumption. It is clear that the new tax policy for vehicles and boats is to highlight the role of energy conservation and emission reduction. The retirement standards of the trade-in policy have been gradually improved, and its role is more reflected in energy-saving and emission reduction, he said.

Jia Xinguang: Economic tightening, slowing down of the auto market At present, inflation is raging, and it has become the most common concern for the people. According to Jia Xinguang, an automotive expert, inflationary pressures cannot be fundamentally resolved within a short period of time. Auto consumption, which is closely related to the people, is bound to be affected continuously. According to his predictions, the overall macroeconomic tone next year will be "full tightening," and the public's consumer sentiment will also be tightened, and will be passed on to manufacturers. "In 2010, the growth rate of China's auto market will reach 30%, but in 2011 and beyond, the growth rate of the Chinese auto market will slow down to around 10%." Jia Xinguang said, "The reason for the slowdown in growth rate is that auto consumption The various stimulus policies will gradually withdraw, as well as the rapid growth of the auto market in the past two years, overdrawing the consumer demand in 2011."